The following interview was conducted after PMQs last
Wednesday.
SD - Col.
Bob, I wrote recently about Britain 's
readiness for another Falklands type conflict.
In that piece, I compared defence spending in 1982, nearly 6% of GDP, to now,
which is significantly under half, and circa 2.4%. If we had another 'Falklands ' would we be able to deal with it?
BS - I think an actual Falklands
is unlikely in the form that we had it before. The fact of the matter is that circumstances
have changed, and the circumstances are that we wouldn't be caught quite as
unprepared as before, and actually we would have sufficient force on the Falkland Islands to deter now. We didn't before. Equally
we would do things differently, and the answer to whether we could deal with
another Falklands , is yes, but differently. We
couldn't do an amphibious landing for example - we've no longer got amphibious
capabilities.
SD - Yes, clearly we can all accept that an actual ground
invasion of the Falkland Islands themselves is
unlikely, so how then would you compare our overall resilience now to then? Is
it as good?
BS - Definitely not. We used to have a full capability, just
about in 1982. We haven't got full capability. We cannot launch a seaborne assault
from a carrier force because we haven't got a carrier... and we haven't got
aircraft that can do it either because you need a carrier to facilitate the
aircraft. Now we haven't got the forces we had in 1982, but what we have got is
far more capability with the equipment we have and equally, we are less likely
than in 1982 to be caught by surprise. By that I mean we have a fairly substantial
foothold on the Falkland Islands , and the Argentineans
would be 1, foolish to try it, and 2, we could reinforce very quickly.
SD - Forgive the loaded question, but would you say then
that you feel let down by cuts to our military, and the respect the army is
held in today?
BS - I won't say let down - I feel devastated. I'm a right wing
tory, and defence is the first duty of government. In my view, we are woefully
defended at the moment.
SD - So is your party failing in that duty?
BS - yes, in a way. All governments are failing. My
government is failing... All governments are failing on defence. We don't seem
to have the resources to actually carry out defence as we could. We are an
island, and as an island, we are required to have strong maritime forces. We
don't have. The Navy is woeful, woeful at the moment. We haven't got an
aircraft carrier, we haven't got the ability to look below the water line much
off our shores because we've actually lost maritime surveillance capability. We
haven't got the aircraft in the Royal Air Force. We haven't got all round
capability in the Royal Air Force and of course, the army is woefully small.
Frankly, I remain to be convinced that we will even have 30,000 army reservists
in time, and anyway 82,000 plus 30,000, assuming they were there, is pretty
small beer as an army. So all round, of course I'm totally gutted by defence.
SD - So then, what would you say to people, to politicians
who say that cuts simply have to be made?
BS - Well the point is, I would say that too. So it's a
heart and head problem here. I know it's a dichotomous argument. Look, I don't
blame Philip Hammond for making the decisions he's made, but I'm not in his
situation. So I feel on the one hand I'm saying this is disgraceful, yet on the
other hand, you know, I'm really split in half.
SD - So it's fair to say that you think your government is
failing... but you don't blame them?
BS - Yes. My government is failing to put as much in to
defence as is required, but I don't blame them, and I understand why it can't
happen. I am absolutely bereft. I am devastated that our Armed Forces are in
the state they are, and they will continue to be.

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